Player Props

Sunday, August 16, 2026 · model-driven prop picks with win probability, edge, and best available price — free, and graded against box scores the next morning.

These props are free. If they help you, buy Freezy a fish — totally optional, and it keeps the picks free for everyone.

Freezy's Top Props

Best-value props today — each market's real record shown

MLB 12:15 PM ET

C. Mayo

Over 0.5 Total RBIs

Over 0.5 Total RBIs

Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

Over 0.5 Total RBIs

Over 0.5 Total RBIs

Over 0.5 Total RBIs

Over 0.5 Total RBIs

Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

· +17.9%

44% hit · 292 graded

MLB

BAL @

TB 12 props · +22.3% best edge 12:15 PM ET

C. Mayo	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+22.3%
C. Mayo	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+20.5%
C. Mayo	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+20.2%
T. O'Neill	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+19.0%
T. O'Neill	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+18.6%
T. O'Neill	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+17.0%
P. Alonso	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+15.5%
Trevor Rogers (BAL)	Under 5.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	58% +5.5% -109 @ draftkings
Freddy Peralta (TB)	Under 15.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	50% +4.9% +120 @ fanduel
Freddy Peralta (TB)	Under 6.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	66% +4.7% -155 @ betmgm
Freddy Peralta (TB)	Under 2.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	71% +4.6% -196 @ draftkings
Freddy Peralta (TB)	Under 5.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	51% +4.5% +117 @ william hill

MLB

SEA @

HOU 12 props · +21.1% best edge 7:20 PM ET

R. Arozarena	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+21.1%
B. Donovan	Under 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+14.5%
Y. Alvarez	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+13.8%
Y. Alvarez	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+13.0%
D. Canzone	Under 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+12.3%
C. Walker	Under 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+12.0%
C. Raleigh	Under 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+11.2%
Y. Alvarez	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+11.0%
J. Altuve	Under 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+11.0%
B. Rodden	Under 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+10.2%
J. Altuve	Under 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+10.0%
R. Arozarena	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+9.6%

MLB

MIL @

LAD 12 props · +19.5% best edge 4:10 PM ET

F. Freeman	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+19.5%
S. Ohtani	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+19.1%
F. Freeman	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+17.6%
F. Freeman	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+16.7%
S. Ohtani	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+16.6%
K. Tucker	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.6%
T. Hernandez	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+16.3%
S. Ohtani	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+15.6%
Kyle Tucker (LAD)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	17% +7.4% +900 @ bet rivers in
Logan Henderson (MIL)	Under 15.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	56% +7.1% +104 @ fanduel
Kyle Tucker (LAD)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	30% +6.9% +325 @ draftkings
Shohei Ohtani (LAD)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	17% +6.8% +890 @ draftkings

MLB

SD @

CLE 12 props · +19.1% best edge 1:40 PM ET

J. Adell	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+19.1%
J. Adell	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+17.9%
M. Machado	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+16.9%
M. Machado	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.8%
J. Adell	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+16.5%
J. Merrill	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.1%
Casey Mize (SD)	Under 1.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	57% +7.5% +103 @ draftkings
Tanner Bibee (CLE)	Over 1.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	56% +7.4% +104 @ draftkings
Tanner Bibee (CLE)	Under 17.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	52% +7.2% +122 @ draftkings
Tanner Bibee (CLE)	Over 4.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	54% +6.4% +110 @ fanatics
Casey Mize (SD)	Under 5.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	67% +6.3% -152 @ draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	16% +4.9% +780 @ draftkings

MLB

MIA @

CIN 12 props · +19.0% best edge 1:40 PM ET

H. Rodriguez	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+19.0%
D. Myers	Under 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.1%
Eury Pérez (MIA)	Under 1.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	49% +9.5% +153 @ draftkings
Dane Myers (CIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	24% +8.2% +541 @ draftkings
Ke'Bryan Hayes (CIN)	Over 0.5 To Get a Hit 58% hit · +8% ROI · 504 graded	59% +7.6% -107 @ draftkings
Eugenio Suárez (CIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	33% +7.3% +290 @ fanatics
Esteury Ruiz (MIA)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	41% +7.2% +200 @ fanduel
TJ Friedl (CIN)	Over 0.5 To Get a Hit 58% hit · +8% ROI · 504 graded	57% +7.1% +100 @ draftkings
TJ Friedl (CIN)	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	36% +7.0% +250 @ bet rivers in
Eury Pérez (MIA)	Under 2.5 Earned Runs 50% hit · -2% ROI · 339 graded	62% +6.6% -125 @ betmgm
Matt McLain (CIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	25% +6.1% +440 @ fanatics
TJ Friedl (CIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	21% +5.4% +540 @ draftkings

MLB

TEX @

ATH 12 props · +18.4% best edge 4:05 PM ET

J. Burger	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+18.4%
E. Carter	Under 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.7%
J. Foscue	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+15.7%
Jacob Lopez (ATH)	Over 2.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	51% +9.9% +146 @ draftkings
Cody Bradford (TEX)	Under 17.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	61% +7.6% -115 @ hard rock
Jacob Lopez (ATH)	Over 5.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	57% +6.8% +101 @ draftkings
Jacob Lopez (ATH)	Over 1.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	70% +5.2% -184 @ draftkings
Alika Williams (ATH)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	22% +4.9% +500 @ fanduel
Darell Hernaiz (ATH)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	22% +4.4% +474 @ draftkings
Tyler Soderstrom (ATH)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	35% +3.8% +221 @ draftkings
Jacob Lopez (ATH)	Over 4.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	58% +3.7% -120 @ fanatics
Evan Carter (TEX)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	23% +3.4% +400 @ fanduel

MLB

ARI @

ATL 11 props · +18.4% best edge 1:35 PM ET

L. Nootbaar	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+18.4%
R. Acuna Jr.	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+17.1%
L. Nootbaar	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+16.3%
A. Riley	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+15.4%
Jim Jarvis (ATL)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	15% +7.7% +1280 @ fanduel
Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	18% +6.5% +800 @ bet rivers in
Austin Riley (ATL)	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	41% +4.1% +168 @ draftkings
Bryce Elder (ATL)	Over 3.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	63% +3.5% -150 @ betmgm
Michael Soroka (ARI)	Over 5.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	49% +3.4% +120 @ draftkings
Jorge Barrosa (ARI)	Over 0.5 To Get a Hit 58% hit · +8% ROI · 504 graded	56% +2.2% -115 @ bet rivers in
Mike Yastrzemski (ATL)	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	35% +2.1% +200 @ fanatics

MLB

STL @

CHC 12 props · +17.6% best edge 3:15 PM ET

J. Walker	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+17.6%
J. Walker	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+17.3%
M. Busch	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.8%
S. Suzuki	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+15.9%
Hunter Dobbins (STL)	Over 5.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	55% +9.7% +120 @ draftkings
Dansby Swanson (CHC)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	32% +9.3% +340 @ fanatics
Michael Busch (CHC)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	38% +9.0% +239 @ draftkings
Edward Cabrera (CHC)	Over 12.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	65% +8.7% -128 @ william hill
Joshua Báez (STL)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	29% +8.7% +393 @ draftkings
Ian Happ (CHC)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	32% +8.5% +320 @ fanatics
Seiya Suzuki (CHC)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	38% +8.2% +235 @ fanatics
Edward Cabrera (CHC)	Over 1.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	63% +7.9% -123 @ draftkings

MLB

PHI @

MIN 12 props · +16.7% best edge 2:10 PM ET

B. Buxton	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.7%
B. Harper	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.0%
Luke Keaschall (MIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	28% +8.2% +410 @ fanatics
Andrew Painter (PHI)	Under 4.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	54% +7.9% +119 @ draftkings
Byron Buxton (MIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	39% +7.8% +225 @ fanatics
Victor Caratini (MIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	27% +7.6% +410 @ fanduel
Justin Crawford (PHI)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	22% +7.6% +574 @ draftkings
Trevor Larnach (MIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	29% +7.3% +360 @ fanatics
Kaelen Culpepper (MIN)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	14% +6.0% +1080 @ draftkings
Royce Lewis (MIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	34% +5.5% +250 @ fanatics
Kody Clemens (MIN)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	32% +5.3% +270 @ fanduel
Byron Buxton (MIN)	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	54% +5.1% +106 @ william hill

MLB

NYY @

TOR 12 props · +16.2% best edge 1:37 PM ET

G. Springer	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.2%
Ryan Weathers (NYY)	Under 17.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	62% +7.8% -120 @ hard rock
Ryan Weathers (NYY)	Under 4.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	52% +7.1% +122 @ draftkings
Ryan Weathers (NYY)	Under 5.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	67% +6.4% -157 @ draftkings
Daz Cameron (TOR)	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	34% +5.7% +250 @ fanatics
Austin Wells (NYY)	Over 0.5 To Get a Hit 58% hit · +8% ROI · 504 graded	49% +4.3% +126 @ draftkings
Dylan Cease (TOR)	Over 1.5 Earned Runs 50% hit · -2% ROI · 339 graded	56% +4.1% -110 @ betmgm
Ryan Weathers (NYY)	Under 5.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	66% +4.0% -160 @ betmgm
José Caballero (NYY)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	28% +3.7% +310 @ betmgm
Myles Straw (TOR)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	14% +3.5% +880 @ draftkings
Myles Straw (TOR)	Over 0.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	53% +3.3% +100 @ fanatics
Austin Wells (NYY)	Over 0.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	49% +3.1% +120 @ fanatics

MLB

BOS @

PIT 12 props · +16.1% best edge 1:35 PM ET

B. Reynolds	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.1%
E. Valdez	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+15.5%
Nick Yorke (PIT)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	13% +8.3% +1960 @ draftkings
Billy Cook (PIT)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	17% +7.5% +1000 @ fanduel
Patrick Sandoval (BOS)	Under 5.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	67% +6.2% -157 @ bet rivers in
Patrick Sandoval (BOS)	Under 4.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	51% +4.5% +116 @ fanduel
Rafael Flores Jr. (PIT)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	21% +3.9% +490 @ fanduel
Anthony Seigler (BOS)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	12% +3.8% +1100 @ betmgm
Brandon Lowe (PIT)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	24% +3.4% +390 @ fanatics
Billy Cook (PIT)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	17% +3.2% +600 @ fanduel
Billy Cook (PIT)	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	32% +3.0% +250 @ fanatics
Jake Mangum (PIT)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	21% +2.8% +446 @ draftkings

MLB

WSH @

NYM 12 props · +16.0% best edge 1:40 PM ET

C. Abrams	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+16.0%
F. Lindor	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+15.4%
Jorge Polanco (NYM)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	32% +9.6% +340 @ draftkings
Nasim Nuñez (WSH)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	29% +9.1% +393 @ draftkings
Christian Scott (NYM)	Under 15.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	61% +8.6% -108 @ draftkings
Jake Irvin (WSH)	Over 15.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	52% +6.8% +122 @ draftkings
Jorbit Vivas (WSH)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	11% +6.7% +2500 @ draftkings
Christian Scott (NYM)	Under 4.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	60% +6.7% -116 @ draftkings
José Tena (WSH)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	14% +6.6% +1200 @ fanduel
Jacob Young (WSH)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	19% +6.4% +670 @ draftkings
Francisco Alvarez (NYM)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	29% +6.2% +333 @ betmgm
Luis Robert Jr. (NYM)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	29% +5.6% +326 @ draftkings

MLB

STL @

CIN 12 props · +14.3% best edge TBD

J. Wetherholt	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+14.3%
J. Bleday	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+12.6%
E. Suarez	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+12.4%
N. Gorman	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+12.1%
N. Gorman	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+11.8%
N. Gorman	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+11.7%
S. Stewart	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+11.0%
J. Wetherholt	Over 0.5 Total RBIs 58% hit · 823 graded	+11.0%
A. Burleson	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	+10.9%
A. Burleson	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+10.8%
S. Steer	Over 0.5 Total Hits 100% hit · 2 graded · small	+10.6%
J. Wetherholt	Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 44% hit · 292 graded	+10.5%

WNBA

CHI @

SEA 12 props · +11.3% best edge 5:00 PM ET

Azura Stevens (CHI)	Under 11.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	59% +11.3% +110 @ espnbet
Jordan Horston (SEA)	Under 3.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	55% +11.0% +128 @ fanduel
Courtney Vandersloot (CHI)	Over 4.5 Total Assists 53% hit · +8% ROI · 224 graded	71% +10.7% -150 @ novig
Azura Stevens (CHI)	Under 6.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	62% +10.0% -108 @ novig
Dominique Malonga (SEA)	Under 20.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	59% +9.4% +100 @ novig
Azura Stevens (CHI)	Under 11.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	59% +9.4% +100 @ espnbet
Dominique Malonga (SEA)	Under 9.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	57% +9.2% +110 @ fanduel
DiJonai Carrington (CHI)	Under 3.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	58% +8.9% +102 @ fanduel
Aicha Coulibaly (CHI)	Under 2.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	53% +8.8% +125 @ espnbet
Azura Stevens (CHI)	Under 6.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	62% +8.6% -114 @ fanduel
Azura Stevens (CHI)	Under 12.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	63% +8.5% -120 @ espnbet
Courtney Vandersloot (CHI)	Over 2.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	60% +7.9% -108 @ novig

MLB

CWS @

DET 10 props · +9.8% best edge 1:40 PM ET

Drew Anderson (DET)	Over 13.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	65% +9.8% -123 @ draftkings
Sean Burke (CWS)	Under 5.5 Strikeouts 47% hit · -10% ROI · 475 graded	63% +8.3% -122 @ draftkings
Drew Anderson (DET)	Over 3.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	64% +8.3% -126 @ draftkings
Drew Anderson (DET)	Over 1.5 Earned Runs 50% hit · -2% ROI · 339 graded	62% +7.6% -121 @ draftkings
Sam Antonacci (CWS)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	23% +6.7% +500 @ draftkings
Drew Anderson (DET)	Over 1.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	58% +6.5% -107 @ draftkings
Sean Burke (CWS)	Over 4.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	62% +4.6% -136 @ draftkings
Chase Meidroth (CWS)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	10% +4.1% +1640 @ draftkings
Sean Burke (CWS)	Under 17.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	56% +3.0% -112 @ fanduel
Max Clark (DET)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	15% +2.5% +725 @ betmgm

WNBA

POR @

PHX 12 props · +9.5% best edge 7:00 PM ET

Sami Whitcomb (PHX)	Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made 51% hit · +6% ROI · 57 graded	51% +9.5% +141 @ novig
Alyssa Thomas (PHX)	Under 8.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	60% +9.2% -102 @ draftkings
Bridget Carleton (POR)	Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made 51% hit · +6% ROI · 57 graded	51% +8.4% +134 @ fanduel
Alyssa Thomas (PHX)	Under 8.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	61% +8.2% -110 @ espnbet
Bridget Carleton (POR)	Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made 51% hit · +6% ROI · 57 graded	52% +7.3% +122 @ fanduel
Sami Whitcomb (PHX)	Under 7.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	61% +7.3% -115 @ draftkings
Bridget Carleton (POR)	Under 17.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	62% +6.7% -126 @ draftkings
Noemie Brochant (PHX)	Over 1.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	60% +6.5% -114 @ fanduel
Kahleah Copper (PHX)	Under 21.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	54% +6.4% +111 @ novig
Kahleah Copper (PHX)	Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made 51% hit · +6% ROI · 57 graded	67% +6.1% -156 @ novig
Kahleah Copper (PHX)	Under 21.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	56% +5.9% -102 @ fanduel
Bridget Carleton (POR)	Under 16.5 Points Scored 51% hit · -1% ROI · 561 graded	60% +5.9% -118 @ fanduel

MLB

KC @

LAA 12 props · +9.5% best edge 4:07 PM ET

John Rave (KC)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	17% +9.5% +1200 @ draftkings
Noah Cameron (KC)	Under 17.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	60% +8.8% -107 @ william hill
Josh Lowe (LAA)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	26% +7.9% +455 @ draftkings
Ryan Johnson (LAA)	Over 4.5 Hits Allowed 45% hit · -15% ROI · 382 graded	68% +7.6% -155 @ draftkings
Noah Cameron (KC)	Under 2.5 Walks Allowed 50% hit · -4% ROI · 344 graded	73% +7.6% -188 @ draftkings
Wade Meckler (LAA)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	14% +7.5% +1500 @ draftkings
Travis d'Arnaud (LAA)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	24% +7.4% +500 @ fanduel
Josh Lowe (LAA)	Over 0.5 To Get a Hit 58% hit · +8% ROI · 504 graded	59% +7.4% -105 @ betmgm
Josh Lowe (LAA)	Over 0.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	59% +6.2% -110 @ william hill
Jose Siri (LAA)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	18% +6.1% +760 @ draftkings
Nick Loftin (KC)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	10% +6.0% +2500 @ draftkings
Josh Lowe (LAA)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	16% +5.9% +850 @ betmgm

MLB

COL @

SF 12 props · +9.3% best edge 4:05 PM ET

Rafael Devers (SF)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	37% +9.3% +265 @ fanatics
Adael Amador (COL)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	19% +8.9% +900 @ betmgm
Jung Hoo Lee (SF)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	33% +8.9% +310 @ fanduel
Victor Bericoto (SF)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	29% +7.9% +375 @ fanatics
Gabriel Hughes (COL)	Under 15.5 Outs Recorded 45% hit · -10% ROI · 447 graded	67% +7.7% -145 @ hard rock
Drew Gilbert (SF)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	26% +7.6% +440 @ fanduel
Gabriel Hughes (COL)	Over 2.5 Earned Runs 50% hit · -2% ROI · 339 graded	54% +7.5% +114 @ draftkings
Troy Johnston (COL)	Over 0.5 To Steal a Base 8% hit · -41% ROI · 1241 graded	16% +7.2% +1000 @ betmgm
Christian Koss (SF)	Over 0.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	66% +7.1% -145 @ fanatics
Rafael Devers (SF)	Over 1.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	51% +6.8% +124 @ william hill
Osleivis Basabe (SF)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	30% +6.7% +325 @ hard rock
Drew Cavanaugh (SF)	Over 2.5 Total Bases 38% hit · -15% ROI · 2472 graded	23% +6.6% +500 @ fanduel

WNBA

IND @

ATL 8 props · +8.4% best edge 5:00 PM ET

Caitlin Clark (IND)	Over 8.5 Total Assists 53% hit · +8% ROI · 224 graded	68% +8.4% -150 @ espnbet
Makayla Timpson (IND)	Over 5.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	54% +6.8% +111 @ novig
Kelsey Mitchell (IND)	Over 2.5 Total Assists 53% hit · +8% ROI · 224 graded	52% +5.6% +115 @ novig
Angel Reese (ATL)	Under 12.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	59% +4.4% -122 @ novig
Madina Okot (ATL)	Over 5.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	45% +4.2% +145 @ espnbet
Rhyne Howard (ATL)	Over 3.5 Total Assists 53% hit · +8% ROI · 224 graded	55% +4.2% -105 @ draftkings
Allisha Gray (ATL)	Over 3.5 Total Rebounds 48% hit · -3% ROI · 414 graded	48% +3.8% +125 @ espnbet
Allisha Gray (ATL)	Over 2.5 Total Assists 53% hit · +8% ROI · 224 graded	51% +3.0% +110 @ fanduel

Under each prop is that market's real graded record — % hit is how often its picks have won, and ROI is the return at a flat 1-unit stake (which is the fair read for longshot markets like anytime-homer, where a low hit rate can still profit at long odds). Green = the market has cleared the vig. Props are graded against official box scores the next morning; see the full track record. Probability and edge come from tracked statistical models, not tout opinions. Past results never predict future ones.

How to read the props board

A player prop is a bet on one player's stat line — strikeouts for a pitcher, points for a guard, total bases for a slugger — instead of the game's result. Every prop above comes from tracked statistical models, and each shows the model's probability that it hits. A 60% prop is a good number and still misses two nights in five; anything advertised much higher than that, anywhere, deserves suspicion. The basics live in player props explained.

The stat to trust here is ROI, not hit rate. Some markets — anytime home run is the classic — hit rarely but pay long odds, so a 30% hit rate can be profitable while a 55% rate on a heavily juiced market loses money. That's why every market on this page carries its own graded record: how often its picks actually won, and what a flat 1-unit stake returned. Green means the market has beaten the vig over its sample; a thin sample is flagged rather than hidden, because a win rate without a sample size is a sales pitch.

Props grade against official box scores the next morning and flow into the same public track record as everything else. One honest warning from the parlay file: stacking several props into one ticket multiplies the books' margin, not your edge. For adults 21+, entertainment only — never bet more than you can afford to lose.