IND
@
ATL
Moneyline (straight up)
Lean
ATL
confidence 13.0/100
| Model consensus | 1 away · 2 home (3 models) |
| Win probability | 61% (ATL, model average) |
| Edge vs market | +7.8% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability |
| Best available price | -113 at novig |
| Sharp money | no clear split |
67% of 3 models home
Iceberg Simulation
10,000 simulations
Win probability
IND 38% · ATL 62%
Most likely score
IND 89 – 94 ATL (0%)
Total 187.5
Over 50% · Under 50%
ATL covers -1.5
56%
Total points — simulated distribution
The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.
Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.
Advertisement