POR @ PHX

WNBA · 7:00 PM ET · Sunday, August 16, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong PHX confidence 39.0/100

Model consensus	0 away · 3 home (3 models)
Win probability	72% (PHX, model average)
Edge vs market	+6.9% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price	-186 at novig
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 3 models home

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability POR 28% · PHX 72%

Most likely score POR 92 – 94 PHX (0%)

Total 176.5 Over 49% · Under 51%

PHX covers -5.5 53%

Total points — simulated distribution

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The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.