CHI @ SEA

WNBA · 5:00 PM ET · Sunday, August 16, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong CHI confidence 39.0/100

Model consensus	3 away · 0 home (3 models)
Win probability	54% (CHI, model average)
Edge vs market	-0.9% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price	-122 at novig
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 3 models away

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability CHI 53% · SEA 47%

Most likely score CHI 91 – 86 SEA (0%)

Total 178.5 Over 50% · Under 50%

SEA covers 1.5 53%

Total points — simulated distribution

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The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.