GS
@
PHX
Moneyline (straight up)
Strong
GS
confidence 21.7/100
✗ Pick lost
| Model consensus | 5 away · 2 home (7 models) |
| Win probability | 58% (GS, model average) |
| Edge vs market | -0.9% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability |
| Sharp money | no clear split |
71% of 7 models away
Iceberg Simulation
10,000 simulations
Win probability
GS 57% · PHX 43%
Most likely score
GS 83 – 76 PHX (0%)
Total 155.5
Over 51% · Under 49%
PHX covers 5.0
59%
Total points — simulated distribution
The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.
Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.
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