NYY @ CWS

MLB · 7:40 PM ET · Monday, July 27, 2026 · Final 9–5

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong NYY confidence 32.5/100 ✓ Pick won

Model consensus	8 away · 2 home (10 models)
Win probability	55% (NYY, model average)
Edge vs market	-2.1% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Sharp money	CWS (+0 handle over tickets)

80% of 10 models away

Against the spread

Split NYY confidence 0.0/100

Model consensus	0 away · 0 home (no model line)
Sharp money	NYY (+2 handle over tickets)

No directional edge from the available signals.

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability NYY 55% · CWS 45%

Most likely score NYY 3 – 2 CWS (2%)

Total 8.5 Over 44% · Under 56%

CWS covers 1.5 61%

Total points — simulated distribution

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.