LAA @ SF

MLB · 10:15 PM ET · Friday, July 24, 2026 · Final 6–7

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong SF confidence 55.0/100 ✓ Pick won

Model consensus	0 away · 11 home (11 models)
Win probability	63% (SF, model average)
Edge vs market	+3.5% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Sharp money	SF (+1 handle over tickets)

100% of 11 models home

Against the spread

Split LAA confidence 0.0/100

Model consensus	0 away · 0 home (no model line)
Sharp money	LAA (+6 handle over tickets)

No directional edge from the available signals.

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability LAA 38% · SF 62%

Most likely score LAA 2 – 3 SF (3%)

Total 7.5 Over 45% · Under 55%

SF covers -1.5 43%

Total points — simulated distribution

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.