FC Dallas @ San Diego FC

MLS · 9:30 PM ET · Saturday, July 25, 2026 · Final 0–1

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong FC Dallas confidence 43.3/100 ✗ Pick lost

Model consensus	4 away · 0 home (4 models)
Win probability	54% (FC Dallas, model average)
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 4 models away

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability FC Dallas 42% · San Diego FC 33% · Draw 25%

Most likely score FC Dallas 1 – 1 San Diego FC (12%)

Total points — simulated distribution

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.