Atlanta United FC @ New England Revolution

MLS · 7:30 PM ET · Saturday, July 25, 2026 · Final 1–4

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong New England Revolution confidence 43.3/100 ✓ Pick won

Model consensus	0 away · 4 home (4 models)
Win probability	64% (New England Revolution, model average)
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 4 models home

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability Atlanta United FC 25% · New England Revolution 52% · Draw 23%

Most likely score Atlanta United FC 1 – 1 New England Revolution (11%)

Total points — simulated distribution

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.