CONN
@
WAS
Moneyline (straight up)
Strong
WAS
confidence 55.7/100
✓ Pick won
| Model consensus | 0 away · 12 home (12 models) |
| Win probability | 70% (WAS, model average) |
| Edge vs market | +1.8% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability |
| Sharp money | no clear split |
100% of 12 models home
Iceberg Simulation
10,000 simulations
Win probability
CONN 30% · WAS 70%
Most likely score
CONN 74 – 78 WAS (0%)
Total 156.0
Over 50% · Under 48%
WAS covers -5.5
50%
Total points — simulated distribution
The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.
Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.
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