DR Congo @ England

World Cup · 2:00 PM ET · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong England confidence 32.5/100

Model consensus	0 away · 2 home (2 models)
Win probability	87% (England, model average)
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 2 models home

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability DR Congo 6% · England 79% · Draw 15%

Most likely score DR Congo 0 – 2 England (18%)

Total points — simulated distribution

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.