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DET @ NYY

MLB · 1:35 PM ET · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Lean NYY confidence 34.8/100
Model consensus 0 away · 6 home (6 models)
Win probability 58% (NYY, model average)
Edge vs market +1.2% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price -133 at novig
Sharp money DET (+14 handle over tickets)

100% of 6 models home; sharp money fades it (+14 on away)

Against the spread

Lean NYY confidence 30.0/100
Model consensus 0 away · 0 home (no model line)
Sharp money NYY (+21 handle over tickets)

sharp money agrees (+21 handle)

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations
Win probability DET 44% · NYY 56%
Most likely score DET 3 – 4 NYY (2%)
Total 9.5 Over 45% · Under 55%
NYY covers -1.5 41%
Total points — simulated distribution
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The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.

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