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DET @ NYY

MLB · 7:05 PM ET · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Split NYY confidence 16.5/100
Model consensus 1 away · 1 home (2 models)
Win probability 58% (NYY, model average)
Edge vs market +7.2% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price -104 at novig
Sharp money NYY (+11 handle over tickets)

50% of 2 models home; sharp money agrees (+11 handle)

Against the spread

Lean DET confidence 10.5/100
Model consensus 0 away · 0 home (no model line)
Sharp money DET (+7 handle over tickets)

sharp money agrees (+7 handle)

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations
Win probability DET 44% · NYY 56%
Most likely score DET 2 – 3 NYY (3%)
Total 7.0 Over 39% · Under 50%
NYY covers -1.5 37%
Total points — simulated distribution
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The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.

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