TEX @ CLE

MLB · 1:10 PM ET · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Lean CLE confidence 16.2/100

Model consensus	2 away · 4 home (6 models)
Win probability	54% (CLE, model average)
Edge vs market	+3.3% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price	-102 at novig
Sharp money	CLE (+1 handle over tickets)

67% of 6 models home

Against the spread

Split TEX confidence 0.0/100

Model consensus	0 away · 0 home (no model line)
Sharp money	TEX (+1 handle over tickets)

No directional edge from the available signals.

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability TEX 48% · CLE 52%

Most likely score TEX 2 – 3 CLE (3%)

Total 7.5 Over 46% · Under 54%

CLE covers -1.5 35%

Total points — simulated distribution

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.