Vancouver Whitecaps @ Seattle Sounders FC

MLS · 10:30 PM ET · Sunday, August 16, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Split Vancouver Whitecaps confidence 21.7/100

Model consensus	1 away · 0 home (1 models)
Win probability	74% (Vancouver Whitecaps, model average)
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 1 model away

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability Vancouver Whitecaps 63% · Seattle Sounders FC 16% · Draw 21%

Most likely score Vancouver Whitecaps 1 – 0 Seattle Sounders FC (12%)

Total points — simulated distribution

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.