Adam Walton @ Ignacio Buse

ATP · 2:30 PM ET · Sunday, August 16, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong Ignacio Buse confidence 21.7/100

Model consensus	1 away · 3 home (4 models)
Win probability	55% (Ignacio Buse, model average)
Edge vs market	+15.9% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price	+144
Sharp money	no clear split

75% of 4 models home

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.