Christopher Oconnell @ Casper Ruud

ATP · 11:00 AM ET · Sunday, August 16, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong Casper Ruud confidence 43.3/100

Model consensus	0 away · 4 home (4 models)
Win probability	71% (Casper Ruud, model average)
Edge vs market	-2.8% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price	-325
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 4 models home

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.