21+ · Where legal · For entertainment only — not betting advice. Problem gambling? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

← All picks

WSH @ NYM

MLB · 1:40 PM ET · Sunday, August 16, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Lean NYM confidence 20.0/100
Model consensus 0 away · 3 home (3 models)
Win probability 61% (NYM, model average)
Edge vs market +0.7% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price -150 at bet 365
Sharp money WSH (+19 handle over tickets)

100% of 3 models home; sharp money fades it (+19 on away)

Against the spread

Split NYM confidence 0.0/100
Model consensus 0 away · 0 home (no model line)
Sharp money NYM (+1 handle over tickets)

No directional edge from the available signals.

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations
Win probability WSH 42% · NYM 58%
Most likely score WSH 2 – 3 NYM (2%)
Total 8.5 Over 45% · Under 55%
NYM covers -1.5 41%
Total points — simulated distribution
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.

Advertisement