Daniel Merida @ Daniil Medvedev

ATP · 7:50 AM ET · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong Daniil Medvedev confidence 32.5/100

Model consensus	0 away · 2 home (2 models)
Win probability	64% (Daniil Medvedev, model average)
Edge vs market	-30.0% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Best available price	-4000
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 2 models home

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.