Matteo Berrettini @ Mariano Navone

ATP · 11:00 AM ET · Monday, August 3, 2026 · Final 0–1

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong Matteo Berrettini confidence 43.3/100 ✗ Pick lost

Model consensus	4 away · 0 home (4 models)
Win probability	56% (Matteo Berrettini, model average)
Edge vs market	-7.8% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 4 models away

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.