CONN
@
DAL
Moneyline (straight up)
Strong
DAL
confidence 50.6/100
✓ Pick won
| Model consensus | 0 away · 7 home (7 models) |
| Win probability | 83% (DAL, model average) |
| Edge vs market | -1.0% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability |
| Sharp money | no clear split |
100% of 7 models home
Iceberg Simulation
10,000 simulations
Win probability
CONN 17% · DAL 83%
Most likely score
CONN 83 – 89 DAL (0%)
Total 172.5
Over 49% · Under 51%
DAL covers -12.5
42%
Total points — simulated distribution
The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.
Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.
Advertisement