Charlotte FC @ Chicago Fire FC

MLS · 8:30 PM ET · Saturday, August 1, 2026 · Final 1–2

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong Chicago Fire FC confidence 32.5/100 ✓ Pick won

Model consensus	0 away · 2 home (2 models)
Win probability	51% (Chicago Fire FC, model average)
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 2 models home

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability Charlotte FC 36% · Chicago Fire FC 38% · Draw 26%

Most likely score Charlotte FC 1 – 1 Chicago Fire FC (12%)

Total points — simulated distribution

The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.