Alex De Minaur @ Brandon Nakashima

ATP · 2:00 PM ET · Friday, July 31, 2026 · Final 0–1

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong Alex De Minaur confidence 43.3/100 ✗ Pick lost

Model consensus	4 away · 0 home (4 models)
Win probability	60% (Alex De Minaur, model average)
Edge vs market	-0.4% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 4 models away

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.