IND @ POR

WNBA · 10:00 PM ET · Friday, July 31, 2026 · Final 112–98

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong IND confidence 50.6/100 ✓ Pick won

Model consensus	7 away · 0 home (7 models)
Win probability	79% (IND, model average)
Edge vs market	+4.0% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 7 models away

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability IND 80% · POR 20%

Most likely score IND 97 – 85 POR (0%)

Total 189.5 Over 48% · Under 52%

POR covers 8.5 49%

Total points — simulated distribution

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The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.