SEA @ ATL

WNBA · 7:30 PM ET · Friday, July 31, 2026 · Final 89–98

Moneyline (straight up)

Strong ATL confidence 50.6/100 ✓ Pick won

Model consensus	0 away · 7 home (7 models)
Win probability	80% (ATL, model average)
Edge vs market	-2.9% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability
Sharp money	no clear split

100% of 7 models home

Iceberg Simulation

10,000 simulations

Win probability SEA 18% · ATL 82%

Most likely score SEA 85 – 95 ATL (0%)

Total 178.5 Over 51% · Under 49%

ATL covers -12.5 40%

Total points — simulated distribution

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The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.

Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.