CIN
@
MIL
Moneyline (straight up)
Strong
MIL
confidence 48.8/100
| Model consensus | 0 away · 6 home (6 models) |
| Win probability | 60% (MIL, model average) |
| Edge vs market | +0.1% — model probability minus the market's vig-free implied probability |
| Best available price | -153 at novig |
| Sharp money | no clear split |
100% of 6 models home
Iceberg Simulation
10,000 simulations
Win probability
CIN 43% · MIL 57%
Most likely score
CIN 2 – 3 MIL (2%)
Total 8.5
Over 45% · Under 55%
MIL covers -1.5
41%
Total points — simulated distribution
The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.
Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.
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