CWS
@
BAL
Moneyline (straight up)
Strong
BAL
confidence 43.3/100
| Model consensus | 0 away · 4 home (4 models) |
| Win probability | 58% (BAL, model average) |
| Sharp money | CWS (+2 handle over tickets) |
100% of 4 models home
Against the spread
Lean
BAL
confidence 16.5/100
| Model consensus | 0 away · 0 home (no model line) |
| Sharp money | BAL (+11 handle over tickets) |
sharp money agrees (+11 handle)
Iceberg Simulation
10,000 simulations
Win probability
CWS 44% · BAL 56%
Most likely score
CWS 2 – 3 BAL (2%)
Total points — simulated distribution
The headline pick is the tip — this is the rest of the iceberg. We run the matchup thousands of times from the consensus and market lines to show the full range of outcomes. It's our own engine and doesn't vote in the consensus above. Free, like everything here.
Sources are aggregated and anonymized. We publish facts (which side each tracked model favors), not anyone's written analysis. Picks are graded the next morning — see the track record.
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